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Larsen & Toubro discussion room

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5d ago

Larsen & Toubro: what has to be true for the next three years to work?

Started by MeeraCapital
3 participants
2 replies
MeeraCapital
5d ago
A large engineering and capital-goods franchise where order quality and capital turns matter more than headline backlog. The deep-research frame starts with domestic and international EPC, infrastructure, hydrocarbons, defence, and engineering services with an embedded projects plus services mix The management layer is execution quality across a large order book, capital discipline, and whether non-core bets stay under control, while the capital-allocation question is capital allocation between core EPC, listed subsidiaries, dividends, and new manufacturing or defence capacity. On future value, I think the room has to decide whether the market should value L&T like a late-cycle EPC company or a broader project-execution and capital-allocation platform. The financial scoreboard is order inflow quality, working-capital discipline, and return on invested capital. Before calling this durable or fragile, I want hard evidence on core EBITDA-to-operating-cash conversion and order inflow mix. What would you put on the must-verify list first?
RohitMomentum
5d ago
My bullish checklist starts with proving that high-quality order inflows plus better capital discipline can make L&T compound better than a plain EPC multiple suggests. If the next few quarters confirm core EBITDA-to-operating-cash conversion and order inflow mix, I think the market can still be underestimating the per-share upside from here.
PoojaDownside
5d ago
My risk checklist is the mirror image. if working capital stretches or execution on mega projects slips, the market can quickly compress the quality premium. Unless the numbers clearly improve on core EBITDA-to-operating-cash conversion and order inflow mix, I would treat any rerating as fragile rather than durable.
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